In this compound probability activity, your students will calculate the probabilities of independent/dependent events and conditional probability.
Real life applications are an essential part of any curriculum, but can often intimidate students. This activity offers scaffolding to support students as they learn to solve word problems and navigate the problem solving process.
This real world math application is perfect for group work and collaboration. It can also be used as a stand-alone formative assessment for calculating compound probability!
This resource includes:
✅ 3 pages of student material
✅ room for extensions of this activity
✅ critical thinking and reflection questions
✅ mutually exclusive and overlapping events
✅ independent and dependent events
✅ conditional probability
☆Answer key included☆
What is the scenario?
With this activity, your students will be tasked with predicting the weather for a popular tourist destination in Florida. They will calculate probabilities of rain, sunshine, thunderstorms, and hurricanes to help the tourists determine their weekend plans.
How is this real life application different from regular word problems?
Most word problems have one question that needs to be answered and little follow up or detail. My real world math activities stretch one idea or scenario into a meaningful performance task that can be used as a full assessment of student learning.
This application is more than interpreting the question and quickly getting to the answer. Your students will be challenged to think critically about each scenario and defend their solutions.
The best part? All of the topics are relevant and modernized (because kids don’t care about calculating CD sales or cell phone minutes anymore).
Ways to use this real world application:
⭐Whole Group: This compound probability activity is perfect for guided notes and introducing the usefulness of statistics in real life.
⭐Small Group: Your students can work together to complete this activity and have discussions about different strategies for calculating probability.
⭐ Individual: I have used this activity as a formative assessment for my Algebra 1 students. It usually takes them about one class period to complete on their own.
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